Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.659140 2.000978 2.416977 2.967582 3.688012 4.614132 5.920822e+00
2024-12-15 1.211148 1.623469 2.201135 3.099508 4.520387 6.794511 1.097702e+01
2024-12-22 0.920586 1.321390 1.938180 3.012996 4.974037 8.726697 1.749663e+01
2024-12-29 0.778257 1.180889 1.850657 3.138699 5.816549 11.920530 3.040685e+01
2025-01-05 0.666312 1.054952 1.741904 3.172587 6.494925 15.365174 5.019754e+01
2025-01-12 0.569382 0.930695 1.599518 3.082104 6.849273 18.374536 7.633054e+01
2025-01-19 0.498811 0.838267 1.492680 3.027200 7.267544 22.095949 1.196357e+02
2025-01-26 0.467257 0.811194 1.507000 3.254121 8.621336 31.074591 2.537518e+02
2025-02-02 0.435022 0.776374 1.496181 3.416025 9.915681 42.339965 5.608253e+02
2025-02-09 0.396649 0.722580 1.431618 3.412430 10.656280 52.587996 1.139422e+03
2025-02-16 0.359024 0.664609 1.345887 3.321039 11.017087 61.697264 2.228672e+03
2025-02-23 0.335230 0.632486 1.314913 3.384621 12.114111 80.290303 6.796994e+03
2025-03-02 0.318347 0.613695 1.314807 3.555640 13.951948 115.220527 4.989215e+04
2025-03-09 0.297079 0.582260 1.277051 3.591719 15.201141 152.700304 1.028342e+06
2025-03-16 0.271627 0.538012 1.197889 3.456194 15.385555 177.647056 7.049582e+08
2025-03-23 0.259305 0.522709 1.193671 3.597606 17.502552 263.010383 NaN
2025-03-30 0.244681 0.500031 1.164895 3.635744 19.037321 363.180820 NaN
2025-04-06 0.227116 0.468211 1.104848 3.527680 19.399843 439.178701 NaN
2025-04-13 0.212610 0.442376 1.058222 3.462385 20.092283 555.593875 NaN
2025-04-20 0.208355 0.441530 1.085404 3.731996 24.242438 1072.541240 NaN
2025-04-27 0.202134 0.434916 1.093958 3.924929 28.200190 2042.275204 NaN
2025-05-04 0.191955 0.416916 1.063773 3.920637 30.084354 3153.572977 NaN
2025-05-11 0.180495 0.394442 1.015926 3.811675 30.581070 4231.890314 NaN